Due to the inaccurate initial informationandlack of detailed initial data, theprediction resultson July 18of the epidemic inUrumqi of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Regionis lower than the real data(485 people).As more asymptomatic infected persons at the initial stage become confirmed cases from July 28 to July 30, the number of confirmed cases in these three days is relatively high. The updated projection results on August 2ndindicate that the outbreak, with the implementation of tighter containment measures, is expected to be brought under control by late August, with a total of about 700 cumulative confirmed cases.
The current outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Urumqi of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is mainly associated with a gathering activity, which develops relatively rapidly. Predicted results of Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic in Lanzhou University show that the current pandemic outbreak is expected to be brought under control in early August under the implemented containment measures at level 1 response, and about 200 people are estimated to be infected. If the containment measures at level 2 response and level 3 response are taken, the number of infections will be about 260 and 490, respectively.