新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

突发新冠疫情预测

大连突发疫情的更新预测(8月2日)


兰州大学全球新冠疫情预测系统更新预测结果表明,辽宁省大连市本轮疫情有望在8月上旬得到控制,累计确诊人数约为126人。


The updated prediction results of theGPCPofLanzhou University show that the currentCOVID-19 outbreak in Daliancity, Liaoningprovince is expected to be brought under control in early August, with a total of 126 confirmed cases.


大连突发疫情的预测(7月26日)


辽宁省大连市从7月22日至7月25日,累计确诊24例,无症状感染者55例,目前已有一地升级为高风险区。兰州大学全球新冠疫情预测系统预测结果表明,二级响应情况下峰值为47人,累计416人,三级响应情况下峰值为58人,累计623人。无管控情况下累计约57500人。


Dalian city in Liaoning province has already had 24 confirmed case and 55 asymptomatic cases from July 22 to July 25, with one of its streets been upgraded to the high-risk area now. Prediction results of the Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic (GPCP) of Lanzhou University indicate that the number of daily new confirmed cases would peak at 47 under the level II response, pushing the cumulative confirmed cases to 416 people. And the peak of daily new confirmed cases would be 58 people under the level III response, with 623 cumulative confirmed cases in total. Dalian city might have 57500 cumulative confirmed cases without control measures.