新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

澳大利亚

Australia

澳大利亚(Australia)

澳大利亚总人口约2544万人,自2020年6月2日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达10万人左右。假设澳大利亚于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在8月初达到峰值,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1900例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到4.5万例左右。


Australia has a population of about 25.44 million and the number of protesters has reached about 100,000 since June2, 2020. Assuming that Australia completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in early August. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 1900. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 45,000.