新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

爱尔兰

Ireland

爱尔兰(Ireland)

 

爱尔兰总人口约481万人,自2020年5月31日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达2万人左右。假设英国于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在7月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为600例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1500例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到9万例左右。


 Ireland has a population of 4.81 million and the number of protesters has reached about 20,000 since May 31, 2020. Assuming that Ireland completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in the middleof July, with daily new confirmed cases of about 600. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 1500. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 90,000.