新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

丹麦

Denmark

丹麦(Denmark)

 丹麦总人口约573万人,自2020年5月31日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达2万人左右。假设丹麦于8月初完全解封,二次暴发将在8月底达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为600例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1000例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到6万例左右。


 Denmark has a population of 5.73 million and the number of protesters has reached about 20,000 since May 31, 2020. Assuming that Denmark completely lifts lockdown in early August, the second outbreak would peak in the end of August, with daily new confirmed cases of about 600. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 1,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 60,000.