新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

法国

France

法国 (France)

法国总人口约6698万人,自2020年5月30日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达15万人左右。假设法国于7月中旬完全解封,二次暴发将在9月初达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为5000例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约10000例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到66万例左右。


France has a population of about 66.98 million and the number of protesters has reached about 150,000 since May 30, 2020. Assuming that France completely lifts lockdown in mid July, the second outbreak would peak in the early September, with daily new confirmed cases of about 5,000. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 10,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 660,000.