新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

加拿大

Canada

加拿大(Canada)

加拿大总人口约3705万人,自2020年5月30日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达10万人左右。假设加拿大于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在7月底达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为2800例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约3800例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到33万例左右。


Canada has a population of about 37.05 million and the number of protesters has reached about 100,000 since May 30, 2020. Assuming that Canada completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in the end of July, with daily new confirmed cases of about 2,800. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 3,800. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 330,000.