新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

美国

US

美国(US)

 

美国总人口约3.3亿人,自2020年5月26日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达150万人左右。假设美国于6月底完全解封,二次暴发将在7月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为4万例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约9万例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到1000万例左右。


 The United States has a population of 330 million and the number of protests has reached about 1,500,000 since May 26, 2020. Assuming that the US completely lifts lockdown in the end of June, the second outbreak would peak in the middle of July, with the daily new confirmed cases of about 40,000. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 90,000. With the re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 10,000,000.