意大利
Italy意大利(Italy)
意大利总人口约6043万人，自2020年5月30日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达1.4万人左右。假设意大利于7月初完全解封，二次暴发将在8月初达到峰值，每日新增确诊病例约为7千例，叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1万例。随着管控措施的再次实施，二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息，累计确诊病例总数达到65万例左右。
Italy has a population of 60.43 million and the number of protesters has reached about 14,000 since May 30, 2020. Assuming that Italy completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in early August, with daily new confirmed cases of about 7,000. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 10,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 650,000.
