新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

英国

UK

英国 (UK)

 

英国总人口约6648万人,自2020年5月28日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达7万人左右。假设英国于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在8月初达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为1.3万例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1.9万例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到140万例左右。


 The UK has a population of 66.48 million and the number of protesters has reached about 70,000 since May 28, 2020. Assuming that the UK completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in early August, with daily new confirmed cases of about 13,000. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 19,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 1,400,000.