新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

哥伦布市

Columbus, Ohio

俄亥俄州哥伦布市 (Columbus, Ohio)

俄亥俄州哥伦布市总人口约131万人,自2020年5月28日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达1万人左右。假设俄亥俄州哥伦布市于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在9月底达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为120例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约380例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到3.5万例左右。


 Columbus, Ohio has a population of 1.31 million and the number of protesters has reached about 10,000 since May 28, 2020. Assuming that Columbus, Ohio completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in the end of September, with daily new confirmed cases of about 120. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 380. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 35,000.