新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

华盛顿特区

Washington, D.C.

华盛顿特区(Washington, D.C.)

 

华盛顿特区总人口约70万人,自2020年5月29日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达1万人左右。假设华盛顿特区于7月底完全解封,二次暴发将在10月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为180例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约650例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到7万例左右。


Washington, D.C. has a population of about 700,000 and the number of protesters has reached about 10,000 since May 29, 2020. Assuming that  Washington, D.C. completely lifts lockdown in the end of July, the second outbreak would peak in middle October, with daily new confirmed cases of about 180. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 650. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 70,000.