新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

迈阿密戴德

Miami-Dade

迈阿密戴德 (Miami-Dade)

迈阿密戴德总人口约272万人,自2020年5月30日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达2万人左右。假设迈阿密戴德于6月底完全解封,二次暴发将在8月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为1800例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约3000例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于9月逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到12万例左右。


Miami-Dade has a population of 2.72 million and the number of protesters has reached about 20,000 since May 30, 2020. Assuming that Miami-Dade completely lifts lockdown in the end of June, the second outbreak would peak in middle August, with daily new confirmed cases of about 1,800. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 3,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by September 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 120,000.