新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

明尼阿波利斯

Minneapolis

明尼阿波利斯(Minneapolis)

 

 

明尼阿波利斯总人口约126万人,自2020年5月26日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达3万人左右。假设明尼阿波利斯于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在9月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为400例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约700例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到4.8万例左右。


Minneapolis has a population of about 1.26 million and the number of protesters has reached about 30,000 since May 26, 2020. Assuming that Minneapolis completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in middle September, with daily new confirmed cases of about 400. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 700. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 48,000.