纽约
New York纽约(New York)
纽约总人口约833万人,自2020年5月28日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达2.5万人左右。假设纽约于6月中旬完全解封,二次暴发将在9月中旬达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为8000例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约1.8万例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于今年年底逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到90万例左右。
NYC has a population of 8.33 million and the number of protesters has reached about 25,000 since May 28, 2020. Assuming that NYC completely lifts lockdown in middle June, the second outbreak would peak in early September, with daily new confirmed cases of about 8,000. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 18,000. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by the end of 2020, but the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 900,000.