新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

二次暴发

Second Outbreak

全球COVID-19第二次暴发预测 Global COVID-19 Outbreak Forecast

全球新冠疫情二次暴发的预警是在复杂且更准确的6参数模型(见预测系统说明)的季节预测的基础上做出的,季节预测不仅考虑了温度等气象要素的季节性变化(见图1),还考虑了游行抗议(见图2)和城市解封(见图3)等大规模聚集性活动导致的疫情二次暴发的影响。


The early warning of the second outbreak of COVID-19 is generated on the basis of a complex and more accurate six-parameter model’ s seasonal predictions (check the description of the prediction system for details), which considers both the seasonal changes of meteorological elements such as temperature (Figure 1) and the outbreak of COVID-19 caused by large-scale gathering such as protests (Figure 2) and city unblocking (Figure 3).